COVID-19 Impact on Nepal Tourism: Recovery Through 2026

ByLal Gurung Published Updated

COVID-19 delivered the largest shock ever experienced by Nepal's tourism industry, bringing a decade of growth in trekking, mountaineering, adventure travel, and cultural tourism to an abrupt halt. Before the pandemic, tourism contributed significantly to Nepal's economy, supported more than one million jobs, and attracted nearly 1.2 million international visitors annually to destinations such as Everest Base Camp, the Annapurna region, and the Kathmandu Valley. Border closures, international flight suspensions, lockdowns, and travel restrictions triggered a collapse in tourist arrivals, disrupted tourism-dependent businesses, and threatened the livelihoods of guides, porters, hotel operators, airlines, and mountain communities across the country.

The effects extended far beyond visitor numbers. COVID-19 reshaped Nepal's trekking industry, halted Everest expeditions, weakened the aviation and hospitality sectors, and exposed the vulnerability of communities that rely heavily on tourism income. At the same time, the crisis accelerated changes in travel behavior, digital tourism marketing, sustainability initiatives, and destination diversification. This article examines how COVID-19 affected Nepal's tourism sector, the economic and social consequences of the downturn, the government's response measures, and the recovery that ultimately helped Nepal rebuild one of the world's leading adventure tourism destinations by 2026.

What Was Nepal's Tourism Industry Like Before COVID-19?

Nepal's tourism sector entered 2020 at the strongest point in its history, having welcomed 1.19 million international visitors in 2019 and built momentum toward the government's Visit Nepal 2020 target of two million arrivals. Trekking, mountaineering, and cultural tourism had grown for a decade, supported by improving flight access, a maturing teahouse network, and rising global demand for Himalayan adventure travel.

How Important Was Tourism to Nepal's Economy Before COVID-19?

Travel and tourism generated NPR 240.7 billion in 2018 and supported more than 1.05 million jobs across hotels, trekking agencies, and airlines. By 2019, the sector contributed 7.5% of Nepal's GDP, and tourists spent $801 million inside the country that year, an 8.24% jump over 2018. Bookings for spring 2020 were arriving steadily through January, with entire seasons of Everest Base Camp and Annapurna departures already confirmed.

The figure most articles stop at, GDP share, understates the real footprint. A single trekking group supports porters, mule and yak handlers, lodge owners, kerosene and food suppliers, and conservation-fee collectors at the village level. That multiplier effect is exactly why the income shock that followed hit far more households than headline statistics alone would suggest.

Source markets were diversifying too, which matters for understanding how the shock would later spread unevenly. In the first eight months of 2019 alone, Nepal recorded 142,286 visitors from India, 106,050 from China, 58,621 from the United States, 36,972 from the United Kingdom, 20,362 from Germany, and 16,324 from France. China's market had grown 9.8% year-on-year at that point, which is exactly why China's outbound restrictions a few months later became the first visible crack in Nepal's tourism numbers, well before any local lockdown.

How Did COVID-19 First Disrupt Tourism in Nepal?

Nepal confirmed its first COVID-19 case on 23 January 2020, and the disruption to tourism arrived in two distinct waves: a slow demand decline through February tied to falling Chinese arrivals, followed by a sudden full stop in March once local transmission appeared.

What Immediate Shock Did COVID-19 Bring to Nepal's Tourism Sector?

January 2020 arrivals had already fallen 2% compared with January 2019, driven by China's outbound travel restrictions, China was Nepal's second-largest source market at the time. The government suspended the Visit Nepal 2020 campaign on 1 March 2020, weeks before any lockdown, because continuing to promote a two-million-arrival target no longer matched reality on the ground. The real shock landed on 23 March, when Nepal confirmed a second imported case and the government ordered a nationwide lockdown alongside a full suspension of international flights.

Most retrospectives treat the collapse as one single event. It was not. The campaign-level retreat in February gave operators several weeks of warning. The lockdown in March gave none.

How Did Nationwide Lockdowns Affect Tourism Activities in Nepal?

The government enforced a nationwide lockdown from 24 March to 21 July 2020, closing trekking trails, suspending permit issuance, and shutting hotels, restaurants, and transport for nearly four months.

How Did Lockdown Restrictions Stop Travel and Trekking Operations?

The Nepal Tourism Board suspended trekking permit issuance the same week international flights stopped, and vehicle movement on long routes closed on 23 March, grounding domestic flights to trailhead airports like Lukla and Jomsom. The shutdown cost the tourism industry more than NPR 10 billion, roughly $83 million, for every month it continued. Even after authorities eased movement restrictions in parts of Kathmandu, public gatherings stayed capped at 25 people and restaurants, bars, and entertainment venues remained closed, so a partial reopening on paper did not translate into a functioning tourism sector on the ground.

What Happened When International Flights Were Suspended in Nepal?

International flights to and from Nepal had already fallen more than 50% by 13 March 2020, ahead of the government's formal suspension on 22 March, and did not officially resume until 1 September 2020.

How Did Flight Cancellations Cut Off Tourists From Entering Nepal?

The flight suspension, not the lockdown itself, was the real structural choke point for inbound tourism. A trek is booked months in advance and depends on a visa, an international flight, and a confirmed permit layered together; breaking any single link cancels the whole chain. More than 10,000 tourists already inside Nepal when the lockdown began were stranded, though most were eventually repatriated through flights coordinated by the Nepal Tourism Board and foreign embassies. When flights finally resumed in mid-August, every arriving tourist had to present a certificate confirming a negative COVID-19 test, the first version of entry rules that would keep changing for two more years.

How Were Trekking Expeditions and Bookings Canceled in Nepal?

Roughly 80% of trekking and tour bookings for the spring 2020 season were canceled, and the trekking and climbing sector alone lost an estimated NPR 15 billion in income.

Why Were Trekking Routes and Adventure Trips Suddenly Halted?

The trails themselves were never the problem; the booking chain was. A foreign trekker needs a visa, an international flight, a Nepal Tourism Board permit, and confirmed lodge space, once visas and arrivals stopped, an open trail became irrelevant. Some operators rolled deposits forward to 2021 instead of canceling outright. Expedition leader Lukas Furtenbach, for instance, asked the government to extend the validity of an $11,000 climbing license his clients had already purchased rather than forfeit it. Agencies across Kathmandu did the same with spring 2020 groups, shifting bookings to the following season to protect both client deposits and already-thin company reserves.

How Did Guides and Porters in Nepal Suffer During COVID-19?

Around 20,000 trekking and mountain guides and porters lost their livelihoods almost overnight once mountaineering and trekking activity stopped, because most work on a per-trip basis rather than a fixed salary.

How Did Job Losses Affect Trekking Guides and Porters in Nepal?

Tourism-sector employment fell from 1.16 million people in 2019 to 1.03 million in 2020 and 1.06 million in 2021, an 11.6% loss concentrated almost entirely in this one industry. Guides and porters felt it first and hardest: without a salary, a written contract, or unemployment insurance, a canceled trek means zero income that same week, not a gradual pay cut spread over months. Several trekking agencies stepped in informally, covering food costs or offering small cash advances to staff between seasons, but support of that kind depended entirely on an individual company's cash reserves. Freelance porters with no agency affiliation at all were the most exposed group of anyone in the industry.

How Did Hotels and Lodges in Nepal Handle the Crisis?

Nepal's roughly 1,254 registered star and tourist-standard hotels, plus thousands of mountain teahouses, faced months of effectively zero occupancy and survived mainly through rent waivers, subsidized loans, and deep staff cost-cutting.

How Did Accommodation Businesses Survive Without Tourists?

Roughly half of landlords agreed to waive 50% of rent for affected hotel tenants, while the central bank made refinancing available at a subsidized 5% interest rate and the government created a Business Continuity Loan of up to NPR 100 million specifically to cover payroll. Urban hotels in Kathmandu and Pokhara could at least pivot toward whatever domestic guests remained. High-altitude teahouses in the Khumbu or Manang could not: Nepali domestic travelers rarely trek the high routes in anything close to the volume foreign trekkers provide, so remote lodge owners had no fallback market and simply closed for the season, living on savings or on remittances sent by family members working abroad.

How Were Everest and Himalayan Expeditions Affected by COVID-19?

Nepal canceled every spring 2020 climbing permit for Everest and other Himalayan peaks, and while a Chinese survey team summited from the northern Tibet side, Nepal's closures wiped out roughly $4 million in annual permit royalties and the seasonal income of close to a million people connected to the climbing economy.

Why Were Everest Climbs and Mountaineering Seasons Disrupted?

China closed its side of Everest on 11 March 2020. Nepal followed within days, halting every permit already issued or pending for the spring season. The Icefall Doctors, the Sherpa team responsible for fixing ropes and ladders through the Khumbu Icefall, were recalled from base camp before route-setting for the season had even begun. A single Everest season can pay a Sherpa guide up to seven times Nepal's average annual salary of roughly $700, which is what made the cancellation so severe at the household level, far beyond what national statistics capture.

Recovery here was neither immediate nor smooth. Spring 2021 brought a then-record 408 Everest permits worth about $4.2 million, issued right as a deadly second COVID wave swept across Nepal, a rebound built on real risk-taking, not on any relief measure. Permit numbers then climbed past pre-pandemic levels entirely: 479 in 2023, and 492 in spring 2026, the highest number ever recorded, generating $7.19 million in royalties despite the permit fee rising from $11,000 to $15,000.

How Was the Aviation and Airline Sector Impacted in Nepal?

Nepal's aviation sector lost roughly 90% of its foreign currency earnings from travel, helicopter operators cut 90% of their flights, and domestic ticket prices dropped to a third of normal as demand evaporated.

Foreign currency collection from travel and tourism fell 90% within weeks of the shutdown, and the Airline Operators Association of Nepal reported helicopter companies cutting operations by the same margin. The aviation collapse compounded a second crisis already underway: the same flight ban that stopped tourists also stranded Nepali migrant workers abroad and blocked new departures, choking remittances, the other major pillar of household income, at the exact moment tourism income disappeared too. An estimated 67,000 migrant workers had already returned home between mid-February and the end of March, just before flights stopped completely, leaving their families to absorb both income losses in the same quarter.

What Were the Overall Economic Losses in Nepal's Tourism Industry?

International tourist arrivals collapsed from 1.19 million in 2019 to 230,085 in 2020, an 80.7% drop, then fell a further 34.4% to 150,962 in 2021, while tourism receipts dropped from $705 million to $197 million, a 72% loss, before recovery began in 2022.

The table below tracks the collapse and the multi-year climb back, using Department of Immigration arrival figures and Nepal Rastra Bank receipts data.

Year

International Arrivals

Change vs Prior Year

Tourism Receipts (US$)

2019

1,197,191

$705 million

2020

230,085

-80.7%

$197 million

2021

150,962

-34.4%

2022

614,869

+307%

2023

1,014,882

+65%

2024

1,147,567

+13.1%

Arrivals alone understate the damage. Tourism's GDP contribution fell from 7.5% in 2019 to 4.3% through both 2020 and 2021, and by mid-2020 the sector had already lost an estimated $330 million. The World Bank warned at the time that the broader economic shock could push close to a third of Nepal's population below the international poverty line of $1.90 a day, a reminder that tourism losses in Nepal translate directly into household-level poverty risk, not just sector-level revenue charts.

How Did the Government of Nepal Respond to the Tourism Crisis?

The government launched a $1.26 billion National Relief Program on 29 March 2020, combining health-system funding, social protection, and economic support targeted at tourism, hotel, and aviation businesses.

What Policies and Support Measures Were Introduced During COVID-19?

Nepal Rastra Bank created a NPR 50 billion refinancing fund offering subsidized 5% interest loans to tourism and small business borrowers, and tourism, hotel, and aviation companies received a 20% income tax rebate for fiscal year 2020–21. Smaller but practical relief measures stacked on top: electricity demand charges were waived for affected businesses, license and equipment renewal fees were suspended for transport and tourism operators, and airlines saw parking fees and fuel-related levies dropped. The Asian Development Bank added $250 million in budget support through its CARES Program, and by mid-November 2021, roughly 134,000 borrowers nationwide had drawn down NPR 205 billion in concessional loans, more than half of them women-led businesses. Industry associations including the Trekking Agencies' Association of Nepal pushed back on the design of this support, arguing that loan-based relief could not realistically offset an 80% revenue collapse, a structural limitation the relief package never fully resolved.

How Did Health Protocols Change Tourism Operations in Nepal?

The Nepal Tourism Board issued a formal COVID-19 Safety and Hygiene Protocol covering hotels, restaurants, vehicles, and trekking and mountaineering operations before any tourism activity could legally resume.

What Safety Rules Were Introduced for Trekking and Travel After COVID-19?

Trekking groups had to space sleeping arrangements at least two meters apart and pitch camps at least 30 meters from other groups, while guides reported to local government offices daily during a trek. Arriving tourists needed a negative PCR test and, later, proof of vaccination. None of this stayed fixed. By early 2022, with vaccination rates rising and the dominant Omicron variant causing milder illness, Nepal dropped the mandatory PCR test and hotel quarantine requirement for fully vaccinated travelers. Today, entering Nepal for trekking or sightseeing carries no COVID-specific requirement at all, a detail several older "Nepal travel rules" guides still floating online have never updated.

How Did Local Communities Relying on Tourism Get Affected?

Mountain communities in the Khumbu, Annapurna, and Manaslu regions, where tourism is often the only meaningful cash income available, lost their primary livelihood source for an entire trekking season with no comparable safety net to fall back on.

How Did Rural and Mountain Communities Cope Without Tourism Income?

After the 2015 earthquake, remittances from Nepalis working abroad jumped 20% and cushioned affected families almost immediately. COVID-19 broke that pattern. The same flight bans that stopped tourists also stranded or laid off the migrant workers those families depended on, so the usual shock absorber failed at exactly the moment it was needed most. Remittances held at roughly 22.5% of GDP through the pandemic at the national level, but that aggregate figure hid real hardship in individual households whose specific wage-earner had lost a job abroad. Many rural families fell back on subsistence farming and informal local trade until trekking routes reopened and income started flowing again. Women bore a disproportionate share of this pressure: a large share of teahouses, homestays, and trailside shops along routes like the Annapurna Circuit and Manaslu Circuit are run day-to-day by women while male household members work as guides, porters, or migrant laborers abroad, meaning a household could lose its tourism income and its remittance income through two completely different channels at the same time.

How Did Nepal's Tourism Industry Begin Its Recovery?

Recovery happened in stages: domestic flights and limited trekking resumed once lockdown restrictions eased in mid-2020, autumn 2020 brought back permitted trekking and mountaineering, and international arrivals began climbing meaningfully only from 2022 onward.

What Signs Showed Tourism Was Returning After COVID-19?

Arrivals rose from 150,962 in 2021 to 614,869 in 2022, more than tripling in a single year, then crossed the one-million mark again in 2023 at 1,014,882. Regional travel led that early rebound: a Nepal-India air travel bubble agreement let Indian nationals fly in under simplified rules well before broader international travel normalized, and India has remained Nepal's single largest source market ever since. By 2024, Nepal recorded 1,147,567 arrivals, a 13% jump over the previous year and one of the highest totals since before the pandemic. Momentum carried into 2025, with 1,158,459 international arrivals landing within striking distance of the 2019 peak, and February 2026 became the first month on record to exceed its pre-COVID equivalent. On the mountaineering side, Everest permits hit an all-time high of 492 in spring 2026, a clear signal that high-altitude tourism has not just recovered but grown past where it stood in 2019.

What Long-Term Changes Did COVID-19 Bring to Nepal Tourism?

COVID-19 pushed Nepal's tourism industry toward sustainable, community-based models, accelerated digital marketing and booking, and shifted traveler interest toward off-beat regions away from crowded hubs like Everest Base Camp and Annapurna Base Camp.

How Did Travel Behavior and Industry Standards Change After COVID-19?

Travel insurance uptake rose from about 15% of tourists before the pandemic to 20–30% afterward, as travelers grew accustomed to building flexibility into their plans. Nepal invested in new gateways, Pokhara International Airport and Gautam Buddha International Airport in Lumbini, partly to spread tourism beyond the Kathmandu bottleneck, and the government now actively promotes secondary destinations such as Rara, Mustang, Ilam, and Palpa to relieve pressure on overcrowded routes. Digital content played an unexpected role too: a Netflix documentary following Nepal's 14 highest peaks helped drive renewed interest, consistent with research showing viewers of destination-specific content are 2.4 times more likely to choose that destination for their own next trip.

Seasonality is the next problem the industry is working through. Nepal's tourist arrivals still cluster heavily around the October–November and March–May trekking windows, which is why the government has begun promoting a "Nepal Wellness Year 2027" initiative alongside monsoon tourism, long-stay packages for retired professionals, and digital nomad visas, all aimed at smoothing demand across the calendar rather than concentrating it in two short peak windows. Source markets have shifted as well: India now supplies close to a third of all arrivals, Bangladesh has grown sharply as a regional market, and operators are working to re-engage Chinese travelers, whose numbers have not returned to 2019 levels at the same pace as other markets.

If you are planning a Himalayan trek today, the practical upshot is simple: routes like Everest Base Camp are running at full capacity again, in several recent seasons, busier than 2019, so it is worth checking current permit and planning details well before locking in a season.

What Are the Key Takeaways About COVID-19's Impact on Nepal Tourism?

COVID-19 erased years of tourism growth in Nepal within a single season, cost the sector its entire international client base for nearly half of 2020, and required until 2025–2026 for arrivals and Everest permits to match, and in some cases exceed, pre-pandemic levels.

  • Arrivals fell from 1.19 million (2019) to 230,085 (2020), an 80.7% collapse, before recovering to 1,158,459 by 2025.

  • Roughly 20,000 trekking guides and porters lost work immediately, exposing how little formal employment protection exists in Nepal's informal tourism labor market.

  • Everest's 2020 spring season recorded zero summits from the Nepal side, only the second time that has happened in decades; by 2026, permit numbers reached an all-time record of 492.

  • Government relief totaled more than $1.26 billion nationally, though industry groups argued loan-based support fell short of what an 80% revenue collapse actually required.

  • Long-term shifts toward sustainable tourism, digital booking, and secondary destinations outlasted the pandemic itself and now shape how Nepal markets its mountains.

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